{"id":1434,"date":"2005-09-19T07:24:50","date_gmt":"2005-09-19T06:24:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kritische-masse.de\/wordpress\/blog\/analyse\/"},"modified":"2023-12-18T08:49:10","modified_gmt":"2023-12-18T07:49:10","slug":"analyse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/2005\/09\/analyse\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyse"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"shariff shariff-align-flex-start shariff-widget-align-flex-start\"><ul class=\"shariff-buttons theme-white orientation-horizontal buttonsize-small\"><li class=\"shariff-button mastodon shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#563ACC\"><a href=\"https:\/\/s2f.kytta.dev\/?text=Analyse https%3A%2F%2Fwww.kritische-masse.de%2Flogbuch%2F2005%2F09%2Fanalyse%2F\" title=\"Bei Mastodon teilen\" aria-label=\"Bei Mastodon teilen\" role=\"button\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\"; background-color:#6364FF; color:#6364FF\" target=\"_blank\"><span 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viewBox=\"0 0 11 32\"><path fill=\"#999\" d=\"M11.4 24v2.3q0 0.5-0.3 0.8t-0.8 0.4h-9.1q-0.5 0-0.8-0.4t-0.4-0.8v-2.3q0-0.5 0.4-0.8t0.8-0.4h1.1v-6.8h-1.1q-0.5 0-0.8-0.4t-0.4-0.8v-2.3q0-0.5 0.4-0.8t0.8-0.4h6.8q0.5 0 0.8 0.4t0.4 0.8v10.3h1.1q0.5 0 0.8 0.4t0.3 0.8zM9.2 3.4v3.4q0 0.5-0.4 0.8t-0.8 0.4h-4.6q-0.4 0-0.8-0.4t-0.4-0.8v-3.4q0-0.4 0.4-0.8t0.8-0.4h4.6q0.5 0 0.8 0.4t0.4 0.8z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1433\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/2005\/09\/analyse\/attachment-fdp\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?fit=300%2C425&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"300,425\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"fdp\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?fit=212%2C300&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?fit=300%2C425&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" alignright size-full wp-image-1433\" hspace=\"5\" align=\"right\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?resize=300%2C425&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"fdp\" width=\"300\" height=\"425\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?w=300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?resize=212%2C300&amp;ssl=1 212w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Aber dass die Frau M.<br \/>\n<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1433\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/2005\/09\/analyse\/attachment-fdp\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?fit=300%2C425&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"300,425\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"fdp\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?fit=212%2C300&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?fit=300%2C425&amp;ssl=1\" class=\" alignright size-full wp-image-1433\" hspace=\"5\" align=\"right\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?resize=300%2C425&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"fdp\" width=\"300\" height=\"425\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?w=300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.kritische-masse.de\/logbuch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2005\/09\/20050919-durchblick.jpg?resize=212%2C300&amp;ssl=1 212w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Aber dass die Frau M. so sehr mit ihrer Partei den Bach runter geht, das h&auml;tte ich wirklich nicht f&uuml;r m&ouml;glich gehalten. Es muss am letzten Wahlplakat gelegen haben. Das war so falsch wie nur denkbar. Die Leute wollen sich doch nicht in eine Politikerin vergucken, sondern sollen sie w&auml;hlen. Schr&ouml;der sah dagegen auf den Plakaten wie der letzte Affe aus, klobig, anma&szlig;end, unsympathisch. Eben so, wie er auch ist. <\/p>\n<p> Die Prognose der Kritische Masse war in Teilen jedenfalls schon um 5:10 sehr genau:<br \/> <cite>CDU: 42,7 (real: 35,2 # diff: 7,5)<br \/> SPD: 33,8 (real: 34,3 # diff: 0,5)<br \/> FDP: 6,5 (real: 9,8 # diff: 3,3)<br \/> B90: 8,1 (real: 8,1 # diff: 0,0)<br \/> PDS: 8,8 (real: 8,7 # diff: 0,1)<\/cite><br \/> Was die &bdquo;links&ldquo;-Parteien angeht, also besser sogar als die Prognosen der offiziellen Organe; allerdings viel billiger.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Insgesamt, wenn ich mir das herausnehmen darf, war die Wahlentscheidung korrekt. 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5.501-6.739 9.785-6.771.367-.044.735-.068 1.101-.073z\"\/><defs><linearGradient id=\"paint0_linear_549_34\" x1=\"37.0692\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"37.0692\" y2=\"79\" gradientUnits=\"userSpaceOnUse\"><stop stop-color=\"#6364FF\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" stop-color=\"#563ACC\"\/><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"shariff-text\" style=\"color:#6364FF\">teilen<\/span>&nbsp;<\/a><\/li><li class=\"shariff-button bluesky shariff-nocustomcolor\" style=\"background-color:#84c4ff\"><a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/intent\/compose?text=Analyse https%3A%2F%2Fwww.kritische-masse.de%2Flogbuch%2F2005%2F09%2Fanalyse%2F \" title=\"Bei Bluesky teilen\" aria-label=\"Bei Bluesky teilen\" role=\"button\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" class=\"shariff-link\" style=\"; background-color:#0085ff; color:#0085ff\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"shariff-icon\" style=\"fill:#0085ff\"><svg width=\"20\" height=\"20\" version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 20 20\"><path class=\"st0\" 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height=\"20px\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\"><path fill=\"#1f1f1f\" d=\"M30.8 10.9c-0.3-1.4-0.9-2.6-1.8-3.8-2-2.6-5.5-4.5-9.4-5.2-1.3-0.2-1.9-0.3-3.5-0.3s-2.2 0-3.5 0.3c-4 0.7-7.4 2.6-9.4 5.2-0.9 1.2-1.5 2.4-1.8 3.8-0.1 0.5-0.2 1.2-0.2 1.6 0 0.4 0.1 1.1 0.2 1.6 0.4 1.9 1.3 3.4 2.9 5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.3 0 0.6-0.5 1.6-1.7 3.6-0.3 0.5-0.5 0.9-0.5 0.9 0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0 0.8-0.2 2.3-0.6 5.6-1.6 1.1-0.3 1.3-0.4 2.3-0.4 0.8 0 1.1 0 2.3 0.2 1.5 0.2 3.5 0.2 4.9 0 5.1-0.6 9.3-2.9 11.4-6.3 0.5-0.9 0.9-1.8 1.1-2.8 0.1-0.5 0.2-1.1 0.2-1.6 0-0.7-0.1-1.1-0.2-1.6-0.3-1.4 0.1 0.5 0 0zM20.6 17.3c0 0.4-0.4 0.8-0.8 0.8h-7.7c-0.4 0-0.8-0.4-0.8-0.8v-4.6c0-0.4 0.4-0.8 0.8-0.8h0.2l0-1.6c0-0.9 0-1.8 0.1-2 0.1-0.6 0.6-1.2 1.1-1.7s1.1-0.7 1.9-0.8c1.8-0.3 3.7 0.7 4.2 2.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.1 2.1v0 1.7h0.1c0.4 0 0.8 0.4 0.8 0.8v4.6zM15.6 7.3c-0.5 0.1-0.8 0.3-1.2 0.6s-0.6 0.8-0.7 1.3c0 0.2 0 0.8 0 1.5l0 1.2h4.6v-1.3c0-1 0-1.4-0.1-1.6-0.3-1.1-1.5-1.9-2.6-1.7zM25.8 28.2c0 1.2-1 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